Allgeier could rack up volume against a run defense with cracks in the pavement. He’s forced only three missed tackles on 26 carries while ranking 45th (out of 57 running backs, minimum 15 carries) in PFF’s elusive rating. Allgeier hasn’t been an overly impressive runner to this point, ranking 29th in yards after contact per attempt (minimum 15 carries). Allgeier split routes with Avery Williams and Keth Smith last week, so while yes, his pass game role will increase, it’s fair to question how much. Last week he turned 11 touches into 104 total yards playing a season-high 44% of the snaps. Tyler Allgeier: With Cordarrelle Patterson on the IR, Allgeier takes over as the primary ball carrier. Brady is third in passing accuracy and fourth in completion rate against zone. Atlanta has remained a zone-based defense (60% zone for their outside corners). The Falcons are seventh in explosive pass rate allowed. They have yielded the fourth-highest success rate per dropback while also ranking tenth in yards per attempt and 12th in passing touchdown rate. Atlanta’s secondary play has fallen apart.
#Jeff brown the bleeding edge full#
Tom Brady: This week, Brady goes full scorched earth. The Buccaneers are 11th in pressure rate, which is concerning because Mariota is eighth in turnover-worthy play rate when pressured. Tampa Bay has limited opposing passers to the eighth-lowest success rate per dropback, fifth-lowest yards per attempt, and fifth-lowest EPA per dropback. Arthur Smith needs to continue to lean on his ground game this week to move the ball because Mariota could struggle mightily. He’s 27th in PFF passing grade and 35th in adjusted completion rate. Marcus Mariota: Mariota’s level of play has sharply declined as the season has worn on. Expect Tom Brady to push that even higher this week. With healthier weapons, Tampa Bay is now up to ninth in neutral passing rate. The Dirty Birds and Arthur Smith are determined to live and die by their ground game with the second-highest neutral rushing rate.They are up to 13th in neutral pace while the Falcons slug along at 20th. Expect the Buccaneers to push the pace.Buccaneers Player Prop Bets via BettingPros
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